How Dangerous is the coronavirus?

The coronavirus is extremely dangerous, and I suspect that the danger is currently being underplayed by the world medical community to minimize panic as we prepare for the worst.

  • We have a population of around 1.35 billion (2nd most populous), so its difficult to control its spread!
  • No. Of tests are less unlike “Trace, Test and Treat” strategy of South Korea, hence actual figures of infected cases may be more!
  • Crude Oil price is crashing, Stock market is down! Industries are getting affected! We are heading towards recession!
  • Events are getting postponed, everything is under lockdown! Huge economic loss to the concerned authorities!
  • Till now, no vaccine cure is available!

All of these points indeed are major threats, but can be controlled or recovered later, provided we are able to control the spread of the virus or atleast delay its transition to Stage-3 and further ( Which is for now, the top priority!)

what is the solution for this?

 Hand washing, Avoiding gatherings & unnecessary travels etc. & most important was cooperation with the officials! But recently there were some news like,

Some of the dangerous statistics of the coronavirus infection can be summarised as under:

  • Coronavirus infection has an exponential rise. When you’re on an exponential curve every moment is dangerous. This is a particularly critical moment for us to try to bring all the resources and determination of government the people to try to get off of it.
  • The steepness of the curve is dependent upon the quarantining capabilities of the countries hit by the virus.
  • Survival/ recovery of the infected patients is dependent upon medical treatment meted out to the patients as there is no medication or vaccine available against the disease. This means fewer people are likely to die if the medical system is prepared to face an influx of coronavirus patients.
  • Fatality rate is still unascertainable as the disease has not yet been eradicated. Director-general of the World Health Organization, said during a news conference that about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 patients around the world have died.
  • Patients above 80 years of age had an alarmingly high fatality rate of 14.8%. Patients ages 70 to 79 years had a fatality rate of 8%. In Italy, which has a high proportion of residents over age 65, the fatality rate is strikingly high, around 10% as of March 25.
  • For most people, the new coronavirus causes only mild or moderate symptoms, such as fever and cough. But for older adults, especially those with pre-existing health conditions, it can cause much more severe illness, including pneumonia.
  • The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s worst-case-scenario is that about 160 million to 210 million Americans will be infected by December. Under this forecast, 21 million people would need hospitalization and 200,000 to 1.7 million could die by the end of the year.

What are the most common COVID19 symptoms?

They are very similar to common cold, or hayfever – which is a bitch, as we are in Spring. But there are some key differences.

  1. In the beginning of the illness COVID19 gives you a slight fever (37.5 °C);
  2. COVID19 does NOT generally give you a runny nose – the nose usually stays dry;
  3. Later, COVID19 gets you a dry cough, and thus begin the infection of your lungs, giving you its typical sensation of shortness of breath, which CAN become serious if you are affected by the disease and require hospitalization.
  4. On one-third of the reported cases, patients have told that they have experienced alterations to their smell/taste. If you do, please sonsider consulting an MD asap.

Remember: these are the MOST COMMON symptoms. This does not exclude that they might vary from patient to patient.

In the majority of cases (80%), COVID19 victims do NOT require medical treatment, because a healthy organism is usually enough to fight its effects alone. In that 10 to 20% that requires treatment, only 1 case in 6 gets serious, needing breathing assistance.

COVID19 becomes highly problematic when it infects people who are already sick because of other illnesses, often provoking a rapid deteriorating of the overall clinical conditions, and of course, is very harmful for old people whose immune system is less responsive.

Is there a cure for COVID19?

As for now, there isn’t any specific cure. Patients are treated with a cocktail of medicines which are studied for every specific case.

Several teams worldwide are working on a vaccine on a race against time. The WHO has declared COVID19 a “pandemic”, thus shortening the time needed to develop vaccines – which normally should be tested throughly first on animales and then on man before being administered. This means that the first COVID19 vaccines – which some teams in China and Israel claim to have developed – will be experimental.

However, there are good news, as lots of people in the world are making researches as I am typing here.